Sacred Heart 
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 74.7708
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
207 A Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 5-16
214 H Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 5-14
218 A New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 7-10
227 A New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 4- 7
304 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 9-13
307 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 8- 7
311 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 5-15
321 A Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 5- 4
325 H Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 7- 8
328 H Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 10- 6
401 A Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 9- 8
404 A Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 2-12
408 H Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 7- 8
411 A Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 6- 4
418 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 9-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Bryant 5-16 -11 -10 -0.78
214 H Columbia 5-14 -9 -7 -1.75
218 A New Haven 7-10 -3 3 --- -6.32
227 A New Hampshire 4- 7 -3 -2 -0.54
304 A Coastal Carolina 9-13 -4 -8 + 3.74
307 A Gardner Webb 8- 7 1 2 -1.27
311 A Monmouth (NJ) 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.61
321 A Iona 5- 4 1 1 0.43
325 H Fairfield 7- 8 -1 -9 +++ 7.55
328 H Merrimack 10- 6 4 2 + 2.20
401 A Manhattan 9- 8 1 1 -0.41
404 A Siena 2-12 -10 -8 -1.52
408 H Canisius 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.01
411 A Rider 6- 4 2 1 0.85
418 H Quinnipiac 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.58
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 A New Haven 7-10 -3 3 --- -6.32
311 A Monmouth (NJ) 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.61
418 H Quinnipiac 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.58
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 H Fairfield 7- 8 -1 -9 +++ 7.55
408 H Canisius 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.01
304 A Coastal Carolina 9-13 -4 -8 + 3.74
328 H Merrimack 10- 6 4 2 + 2.20
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 5-16 -16.28 23.89 1.37 1.15 -8.61
3 H Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 5-14 -16.51 23.66 -1.37 1.15 -10.32
3 A New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 7-10 -29.81 10.35 1.37 1.15 -16.43
3 A New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 4- 7 -24.04 16.13 1.37 1.15 -13.09
3 A Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 9-13 -18.76 21.41 1.37 1.15 -10.04
3 A Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 8- 7 -28.77 11.40 1.37 1.15 29.49
3 A Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 5-15 -20.10 20.06 1.37 1.15 -10.82
3 A Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 5- 4 -27.07 13.10 1.37 1.15 33.42
3 H Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 7- 8 -15.21 24.95 -1.37 1.15 -9.58
3 H Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 10- 6 -25.56 14.60 -1.37 1.15 30.57
3 A Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 9- 8 -27.91 12.26 1.37 1.15 31.47
3 A Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 2-12 -18.01 22.16 1.37 1.15 -9.61
3 H Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 7- 8 -18.75 21.42 -1.37 1.15 -11.62
3 A Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 6- 4 -27.64 12.52 1.37 1.15 32.09
3 H Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 9-16 -19.34 20.83 -1.37 1.15 -11.96
------
44.96
|
winning pts = 157.0362 losing points = -112.0744
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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